Monday, August 11, 2025

EU Holds Urgent Talks as Trump-Putin Summit Looms, Fears Ukraine Exclusion

European foreign ministers convened emergency talks on Monday to strategize ahead of a pivotal meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin, scheduled for Friday in Alaska. The discussions, held via video link with Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha, reflect growing European concerns that Ukraine could be sidelined in negotiations to end the Russia-Ukraine war, now in its fourth year. The European Union insists that Kyiv and European powers must be integral to any peace agreement to ensure Ukraine’s sovereignty and Europe’s security.

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz spearheaded a pre-summit virtual meeting set for Wednesday, inviting Trump, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, and several European leaders to align on a unified approach. The EU’s top diplomat, Kaja Kallas, emphasized that “the U.S. has the power to force Russia to negotiate seriously,” but stressed that “any deal between the U.S. and Russia must include Ukraine and the EU.” Leaders from France, Germany, Italy, Poland, Britain, Finland, and EU Commission chief Ursula von der Leyen echoed this sentiment, declaring in a joint statement: “The path to peace in Ukraine cannot be decided without Ukraine.”

Zelenskyy firmly rejected concessions to Moscow, warning that yielding to Russia would not halt its aggression. “Concessions do not persuade a killer,” he said, reiterating his refusal to cede Ukrainian territory or abandon aspirations for NATO membership. European leaders reinforced this stance, underscoring that international borders must not be altered by force. Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk noted that the U.S. had committed to consulting Europe before the summit, expressing cautious hope tempered by concerns. British Prime Minister Keir Starmer supported Trump’s peace efforts but insisted that “any peace must be built with Ukraine, not imposed upon it,” and vowed unwavering support for Ukraine’s sovereignty. Trump described the upcoming Alaska meeting as a “feel-out meeting” aimed at pressing Putin to end the conflict. “I’m going to be telling him, you’ve got to end this war,” Trump told reporters, adding that a future meeting could include Zelenskyy, though no confirmation has been made. Putin has indicated that conditions must be met for a direct meeting with Zelenskyy. **Trump’s Tariff Threat and Military Support** Last month, Trump escalated pressure on Russia, threatening “very severe” 100% tariffs on Moscow and its trading partners if no ceasefire is reached within a specified timeframe, initially set at 50 days from July 14, 2025, and later shortened to 10-12 days. These secondary tariffs would target countries like China and India, which rely heavily on Russian oil, aiming to isolate Moscow economically. Trump also announced a deal to supply Ukraine with advanced U.S. weapons, including Patriot air defense systems, funded by NATO allies such as Germany, Finland, and the UK. “We’re sending top-of-the-line weapons, and they’ll be quickly distributed to the battlefield,” Trump said during a meeting with Rutte. However, Kremlin officials have dismissed Trump’s threats, with former President Dmitry Medvedev calling them a “theatrical ultimatum.” Sources cited by Reuters suggest Putin remains undeterred, believing Russia holds the battlefield advantage and that additional sanctions will have limited impact, given Moscow’s resilience against existing measures. Putin’s goals include securing full control of Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson, regions Russia claims but does not fully control. **Could Tariffs Push Putin Toward Peace?** Analysts doubt that Trump’s tariff threats will sway Putin, whose war aims remain steadfast. Russia’s economy has weathered over 21,000 sanctions since the invasion began, supported by oil exports to nations like China and India, which accounted for 35% and 19% of their crude imports in 2024, respectively. Kremlin sources argue that further sanctions are unlikely to alter the conflict’s trajectory, with one noting, “There’s not much more they can do to us.” Experts suggest Putin may prolong negotiations to maintain leverage, viewing recent talks as gestures to appease Trump without committing to substantive concessions. **Will Patriots Bolster Ukraine’s Defense?** The delivery of Patriot air defense systems, funded by European allies, is expected to strengthen Ukraine’s ability to counter Russia’s intensified aerial assaults. In June 2025, Ukraine faced 232 civilian deaths and 1,343 injuries, the deadliest month in three years, as Russia launched ten times more drones and missiles than the previous year. Marina Miron, a researcher at King’s College London, noted that Patriots are effective against ballistic missiles like Russia’s Iskander M but emphasized that Ukraine also needs short- to medium-range systems. The impact depends on the number of systems delivered and their strategic placement, with Germany pledging to finance two additional Patriot units. **Farmers Braving Minefields** Amid the conflict, Ukrainian farmers face perilous conditions, working fields littered with mines and unexploded ordnance. The war has rendered vast swathes of agricultural land unusable, threatening food security. Farmers in frontline regions like Kherson and Zaporizhzhia risk their lives daily to cultivate crops, with demining efforts hampered by ongoing fighting. The resilience of these farmers underscores Ukraine’s determination to sustain its economy despite Russia’s aggression. **Escalating Tensions and Aerial Assaults** As diplomatic efforts intensify, so do military exchanges. Ukraine claimed a strike on a Russian missile component facility in Nizhny Novgorod, killing one and injuring two, while Russia reported downing 59 Ukrainian drones, including 12 over Tula and others over annexed Crimea. Russian forces also seized Lunacharske (Fedorivka) in Donetsk, signaling continued advances. Over the weekend, Russia launched deadly attacks across Ukraine, particularly in Kherson and Zaporizhzhia, highlighting the war’s unrelenting toll. As the Trump-Putin summit approaches, Europe and Ukraine brace for outcomes that could reshape the conflict’s trajectory, with Zelenskyy and EU leaders resolute in ensuring Kyiv’s voice is not sidelined.

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